Roadmap · updated Oct 8, 2026

The weekend roadmap to 2026-12-21

Twelve working weekends between 2026-09-26 and 2026-12-20, front-loaded so that both kill dates pass with their work already done and reserve weekends stay in hand for slipped gates. Re-planned 2026-10-08: the registration slipped two weekends and the refounding of 2026-10-07 changed what the degree experiment is for (instrument research, with a stop after the repaired built models are verified and another after the single free-arm run); the second release is conditional on both. Weekends 4 to 7 are left as written until the handoff after weekend 3 knows what landed.

The question the plan serves

Can a decomposability measure, validated on systems whose degree is known by construction, read the degree of a freely trained 30-million-parameter transformer that acquired a load-bearing ownership pointer under task pressure? If so, what does it read?

Weekdays and weekends Weekdays carry rulings and spoken go's only, from a queue a session pre-assembles; weekends carry the reviewer sessions John runs by hand and the launches; agents run unattended between weekends.

The weekly re-plan Every Thursday or Friday evening the coming weekend is re-planned from the top of STATUS.md. Kill dates and the wrap-up start never move; what moves is which weekend absorbs a slip, and the re-plan names it.

Progress against the plan

as of Oct 8, 2026
13 / 45
goals done
29% of the goals that count. 3 carried to a later weekend, 0 dropped.
0 / 12
working weekends done
The blackout weekend is not counted. 2 partly done.
10
days to kill date 1 (K1), Oct 18, 2026
24
days to kill date 2 (K2), Nov 1, 2026
74
days to wrap-up (W), Dec 21, 2026
88
days to hibernation (H), Jan 4, 2027

Thirteen weekends on one line

each segment is a weekend at its real dates; ticks are the fixed dates
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
K1 Kill date 1Oct 18, 2026
K2 Kill date 2Nov 1, 2026
W Wrap-upDec 21, 2026
H HibernationJan 4, 2027
Today

Weekend by weekend

the outcome, the goals that make it up, and John's part

W1 Weekend 1 · Sep 26–27, 2026 · 2 days

Clear the queue, close A3, repair the proposal

Partly done

Outcome Amendment A3 (the earlier constructed self-index experiment) closed under Gate A; every registration-blocking decision ruled; the rented slice's seconds per step in the release arithmetic; successor proposal version 2 through its Gate C first-tier review.

Goals

  • W1.1 A3 closure through Gate A, both tiers, and the closure commit landed

    DoneJohn and agents

    Note Landed 2026-09-25: closure text version 5 appended to the registration file by pull request 49, after both outside reviews, John's rulings, a first-tier check and its re-check

  • W1.2 Every registration-blocking decision ruled and recorded in docs/rulings/2026-09-26-weekend-1-queue.md

    DoneJohn

    Note Ruled 2026-09-25, all nine pages; the five follow-on decisions from the rehearsal repairs are in docs/rulings/2026-09-25-rehearsal-repairs-rulings.md (pull request 53)

  • W1.3 The 2026-09-22/23 handoff landed at the top of STATUS.md with a 2026-09-24 entry; data/project.toml current; merged worktrees pruned

    DoneAgents

    Note Landed 2026-09-24 evening: PR 29 and PR 31; no worktree folder was prunable by git's definition (all 69 branches merged), so clearing them is a later git worktree remove pass

  • W1.4 The launcher refuses to rent a machine when the laptop can sleep, and the launch checklist is a gate it checks

    DoneAgents

    Note Landed 2026-09-24 evening: PR 33 (shared src/launch_gate.sh, 351 and 67 harness checks, charger case and empty-date field covered), checked on PR 36

  • W1.5 The rented slice run: seconds per step per arm measured on the rented machine and written into the second release's arithmetic; the shutdown path exercised end to end

    CarriedJohn and agents

    Note Half done 2026-09-25: seconds per step measured on the second attempt (pull request 51, checked on 55) and the registered runs re-priced at $161.90. The half of the shutdown test that runs on the rented machine was not exercised; it moves to weekend 2's development runs (W2.4), the next time a machine is rented

  • W1.6 Rehearsal repairs at toy scale: the named-other condition redesigned (or the risk accepted on record), the nomination procedure shown to be one instrument across arms, control 2 built as stated, the fourth arm attempted if ruled

    DoneAgents

    Note Landed 2026-09-26 (pull request 52, checked on 58): the named-other redesigns failed, and a later change to the task grammar failed too (pull request 57), so the fallback ruled in advance applies and the risk is on the record; the nomination is one instrument; the fourth, mixed arm passed and is folded into the registration

  • W1.7 Successor proposal version 2 written with the ruled numbers, label and form, the failure-modes checklist exercised against it with commands and output, both checking scripts clean

    DoneAgents

    Note Landed 2026-09-26 as pull request 54

  • W1.8 Gate C first-tier review of version 2 filed; if clean, the registration text drafted and its Gate A first tier launched overnight

    DoneAgents

    Note Review filed 2026-09-26 (pull request 56): not clean, one fatal finding and four serious, so the registration text was not drafted. John ruled every finding the same day; version 3 was written from the rulings and is pull request 71, open. Its own review is goal W2.6

  • W1.9 The Saturday ruling packet built and checked (PR 34)

    DoneAgents

    Note Landed 2026-09-24 evening: PR 34, checked on PR 35, both merged; the packet is docs/rulings/2026-09-26-weekend-1-queue-PROPOSAL.md

John's items

  • Run the two A3 closure second-tier reviewer sessions from the committed packets and file both responses verbatim; rule the drafted dispositions the same day
  • Rule the pre-assembled queue in one sitting: the eight numbers, the form of the measure, the named-other condition, the middle of the scale, the Wittgenstein criteria, the two record corrections, the spend ruling (successor cap $142; programme envelope $400 to $450)
  • Give the spoken go for the rented slice (about $1, hard cap $2)
  • Optional, ten minutes: the two Cloudflare secrets and the repository visibility flip, so the site deploys

John's hours about 3

Beside it: Book text lock 2026-09-30 is off the table (done or moved).

W2 Weekend 2 · Oct 3–4, 2026 · 2 days

Register

Partly done

Outcome The registration committed through Gate A, both tiers, two weeks ahead of kill date 1; the implementation frozen and tested; the development runs at 10 million parameters landed.

Goals

  • W2.1 Registration text through Gate A, both tiers; dispositions ruled; text fixes paired-checked; citation and single-source scripts clean on the final text

    CarriedJohn and agents

    Note Half done: the inside review (RT-237 to RT-246) and John's two outside sessions (RT-247 to RT-256) ran on 2026-10-06 and he ruled all twelve pages. Then the refounding of 2026-10-07 changed the text (the repair, the stop conditions, the renamed outcomes), so version 5 was written and is owed its check. Carried to weekend 3

  • W2.2 Registration committed (kill date 1 is 2026-10-18)

    CarriedJohn and agents

    Note Carried to weekend 3 (W3.2). Two things stand in the way on 2026-10-08: the bar for 'the repaired route holds' is unruled, and fifty of the text's citations point at fifteen unmerged branches

  • W2.3 Implementation frozen: generator, arms T and C, the transplant code; unit tests; the even-split rule (RT-58) and the one-scored-token self-test carried over

    DoneAgents

    Note Done 2026-10-04 (pull request 97): the frozen code reproduces all 502 toy figures and runs end to end at both sizes

  • W2.4 Development runs at 10 million parameters landed and checked by a session that did not write the code; ledger rows opened before any machine existed

    DoneJohn and agents

    Note Done 2026-10-04 on John's go, about $1.47 for all four; the check (pull request 106) found two of the three built models had switched their built-in route off, which produced the $1.14 repair now written into the registration

  • W2.5 The go packet for the first registered run assembled: launch checklist, ledger row with estimate, sleep gate, scheduled fetch and kill

    DoneAgents

    Note The development-runs packet served; the first registered run's go waits on the registration and on the reruns' verification

  • W2.6 Proposal version 3 and the rulings on its decisions 20 and 21 merged (pull requests 71 and 72), and version 3 through its Gate C first-tier review by a session that did not write it

    DoneJohn and agents

    Note Done 2026-10-03: merged, reviewed with nothing fatal (pull request 74), and ruled the same day (docs/rulings/2026-10-03-successor-v3-gate-c-rulings.md). The review session was not a fresh one and says so

  • W2.7 The rehearsal's controls re-run under the registered rules, with the ruled change to how the transplanted piece is chosen; method committed before output; checked by a session that did not run it

    DoneAgents

    Note Done 2026-10-03 and checked the same evening; three rulings came out of it

John's items

  • Added at the 2026-10-03 re-plan, and first: merge pull requests 72 (the rulings on decisions 20 and 21) and 71 (proposal version 3)
  • Run the two second-tier reviewer sessions on the registration text and rule the drafted dispositions
  • Give the go naming the development runs (about $10, inside the first release)

John's hours about 2.5

W3 Weekend 3 · Oct 10–12, 2026 · 3 days

Register, verify the repair, then the first run if it holds

This weekend

Outcome Re-planned 2026-10-08. The registration committed inside kill date 1 with the repair and both stop conditions written in; the three 10-million reruns of the repaired built models landed and verified against the bar John rules; if they hold, the single free-arm run at full size launched on his go. The second release is not this weekend: it is asked for only after both the reruns and the free arm pass, and he gives the go on the figures.

Goals

  • W3.1 The twelve open items of version 5 ruled, the bar for 'the repaired route holds' first

    PlannedJohn

  • W3.2 Version 5 checked by a session that wrote none of it, the fifteen branches merged, and the registration committed (kill date 1 is 2026-10-18)

    PlannedJohn and agents

  • W3.3 The three 10-million reruns of the repaired built models landed and verified against the ruled bar; a failure stops experiment C here and is written up as instrument research

    PlannedJohn and agents

  • W3.4 Branch: if the verification holds, the free-arm run at full size launched on John's go and landed; the learn-both gate and the floor read by a paired session

    PlannedJohn and agents

  • W3.5 The battery draft's third check filed and the measurement rehearsal of its first two entries committed, ahead of Gate A

    PlannedAgents

  • W3.6 The December result restated under the refounding in one page, so that the kill dates and the new question point at the same thing

    PlannedAgents

John's items

  • First, before anything else: rule the bar for 'the repaired route holds' (open item 1 of version 5), and the other eleven open items in one sitting
  • Merge the fifteen checked branches the registration cites (the sharpness branch, pull request 118, after its check)
  • Commit the registration once its check is filed clean
  • Give the go naming the three reruns (about $1.14); then, only if the verification holds, the go naming the free-arm run (about $12, about ten hours)
  • Ten minutes, optional: the two Cloudflare secrets, so the site deploys

John's hours about 2, spread across the three days

Beside it: Columbus Day makes it three days. The field exercise of 2026-10-13 to 14 follows (blackout, tentative).

W4 Weekend 4 · Oct 17–18, 2026 · 2 days

The validation result

Planned

Outcome As written 2026-09-24; left as written at the 2026-10-08 re-plan until weekend 3's handoff knows what landed. If the reruns and the free arm both held, this is the earliest weekend the second release (the remaining eight runs, about $150 to $172) can be asked for on the figures; if either stopped experiment C, this weekend starts the instrument-research write-up instead. Kill date 1 passes on Sunday.

Goals

  • W4.1 Nomination procedure frozen and committed, method before output

    PlannedAgents

  • W4.2 Transplants run on fresh episodes on every arm

    PlannedAgents

  • W4.3 The measure computed on T and C: the validation result, with paired uncertainty

    PlannedAgents

  • W4.4 Validation findings drafted and Gate B first-tier review launched

    PlannedAgents

John's items

  • The queue only; one ruling if the nomination freeze needs one

John's hours under 1

Beside it: Kill date 1 is Sunday 2026-10-18.

W5 Weekend 5 · Oct 24–25, 2026 · 2 days

Gate B, and the reading if R1

Planned

Outcome John's Gate B ruling on the validation result: R1 (read arm F), or R2 or R3 (closure path). If R1, arm F read on the frozen procedure with confirmation seeds.

Goals

  • W5.1 Gate B on the validation result, both tiers, ruled

    PlannedJohn and agents

  • W5.2 If R1: arm F read on the frozen procedure with confirmation seeds, locally; findings drafted

    PlannedAgents

  • W5.3 If R2 or R3: closure text drafting starts

    PlannedAgents

John's items

  • Run the two second-tier reviewer sessions on the validation packet and rule
  • If R1: rule on extension E1 (three more free-arm seeds, about $36, an envelope ruling) for weekend 8

John's hours about 2.5

W6 Weekend 6 · Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2026 · 2 days

The reading's findings and its Gate B

Planned

Outcome Findings document for the reading (or the null); Gate B first tier run midweek before; John's two second-tier sessions and ruling. Kill date 2 passes with the runs landed three weeks earlier.

Goals

  • W6.1 Findings document for the reading or the null, through Gate B both tiers, ruled

    PlannedJohn and agents

  • W6.2 Closure text (registered text) drafted the following week

    PlannedAgents

John's items

  • Run the two second-tier reviewer sessions on the reading's findings and rule

John's hours about 2.5

Beside it: Kill date 2 is Sunday 2026-11-01.

W7 Weekend 7 · Nov 7–8, 2026 · 2 days

Closure text and Gate A: the December result exists

Planned

Outcome Gate A on the closure text: first tier midweek, John's two second-tier sessions and ruling on Saturday, closure landed in the successor's registration file on Sunday. Six weeks before wrap-up.

Goals

  • W7.1 Closure text through Gate A, both tiers, ruled, and landed in the registration file

    PlannedJohn and agents

  • W7.2 STATUS.md, data/project.toml and the site carry the result

    PlannedAgents

John's items

  • Run the two second-tier reviewer sessions on the closure text and rule

John's hours about 2.5

Beside it: The field exercise of 2026-11-10 to 11 follows.

W8 Weekend 8 · Nov 14–15, 2026 · 2 days

Slack, or extension E1

Slack

Outcome A slipped gate takes this weekend before any extension does. Otherwise extension E1 (three more free-arm seeds for a tighter degree reading) runs.

Goals

  • W8.1 Absorb a slipped gate from weekends 2 to 7, if any

    PlannedJohn and agents

    Note Re-plan 2026-10-03: expected to be used. The registration slips one weekend, so the full-size runs move to weekend 4 and each of weekends 4 to 7 takes the work of the one before; those entries are left as written until the 2026-10-04 handoff knows what landed

  • W8.2 Else: extension E1 launched and landed

    PlannedJohn and agents

John's items

  • Only if E1 was ruled: the go naming the three runs

John's hours 0 to 1

Beside it: Mini CSS 2026-11-18 to 19 and the mile retest 2026-11-20 follow.

W9 Weekend 9 · Nov 21–22, 2026 · 2 days

Slack, or extensions E2 and E1's findings

Slack

Outcome Slack for a slipped gate; otherwise extension E2 (the existing 10-million-parameter checkpoints read on the frozen procedure, $0) and E1's findings with a short Gate B.

Goals

  • W9.1 Absorb a slipped gate, if any

    PlannedJohn and agents

  • W9.2 Else: E2 read and filed as a side reading; E1 findings through Gate B

    PlannedJohn and agents

John's items

  • Only if E1 ran: the second-tier sessions on its findings and the ruling

John's hours 0 to 2

W10 Weekend 10 · Nov 26–29, 2026 · 4 days

The communication half

Planned

Outcome The state-of-the-programme write-up; the write-up to the outside human reader; explainer.md refreshed; site and data/project.toml current.

Goals

  • W10.1 State-of-the-programme write-up drafted and reviewed

    PlannedJohn and agents

    Note Ruled 2026-10-08 (decision 3 of the December-result restatement): not a separate document. The Sentient Horizons essay draft is its public face and the internal write-up folds into the closing STATUS entry at wrap-up

  • W10.2 Write-up sent to the outside human reader

    PlannedJohn

  • W10.3 explainer.md refreshed to cover the registered results, MVM-0, A3 and the successor

    PlannedAgents

  • W10.4 Site and data/project.toml current with the December result

    PlannedAgents

John's items

  • Choose and contact the outside human reader from docs/outside-reader-shortlist-2026-09-19.md
  • Read and rule on the state-of-the-programme write-up

John's hours about 3

Beside it: Thanksgiving makes it four days.

W11 Weekend 11 · Dec 5–6, 2026 · 0 days

Blackout

Blackout

Outcome No work planned. Mini CSS 2026-12-04 to 08.

Goals

No goals. Nothing is planned this weekend.

John's items

Nothing for John.

John's hours 0

Beside it: Mini CSS 2026-12-04 to 08 (five days, Friday to Tuesday).

W12 Weekend 12 · Dec 12–13, 2026 · 2 days

Records closed

Planned

Outcome Records closed with actual-after rows; RESUME.md drafted; any extension's Gate B ruling. Planned light: inside the post-field recovery window.

Goals

  • W12.1 Compute ledger, STATUS.md, data/project.toml and the site closed with actual-after rows

    PlannedAgents

  • W12.2 RESUME.md drafted: how to wake the programme in May 2027

    PlannedAgents

John's items

  • Any extension's Gate B ruling, if one is pending

John's hours 0 to 1

Beside it: Inside the roughly ten-day recovery window after the Mini CSS.

W13 Weekend 13 · Dec 19–20, 2026 · 2 days

Final state of the record

Planned

Outcome Final state of the record before wrap-up starts Monday 2026-12-21; nothing launches. The hibernation condition is completed over the exodus break, by 2027-01-04, with John's final ruling that it is met.

Goals

  • W13.1 Record in its final pre-hibernation state; nothing in flight

    PlannedAgents

  • W13.2 Hibernation condition per docs/program-roadmap-2026-09-20.md met and ruled, by 2027-01-04

    PlannedJohn and agents

John's items

  • Final ruling that the hibernation condition is met (may land during the exodus break)

John's hours about 1

Beside it: Wrap-up starts 2026-12-21. Exodus break roughly 2026-12-21 to 2027-01-03 (dates inferred, not published).

Extensions the back half can take

ranked; none is authorised by the plan, each needs its own registration
IdExtensionWhenCostWhat it teachesStatus
E0 A fourth arm, partially separable by construction Folded into the main registration if the rehearsal can build it in weekend 1 one more architecture; three more 30-million-parameter runs, about $36 Without a middle case, a free-arm reading at the entangled end cannot be told from a ceiling. This is the single change that most improves what outcome R1 can say. Proposed
E1 Tighter uncertainty on the free arm's degree If R1; proposed after Gate B in weekend 5, runs in weekend 8 three more free-arm seeds, about $36 A paired uncertainty across six seeds rather than three. Proposed
E2 A second point on size If R1 or R2; weekend 9 or a November midweek $0; the 10-million-parameter development checkpoints already exist The measure's behaviour at a second size, filed as a side reading, not a claim. Proposed
E3 One registered recipe change, not hibernation If R3 (an arm fails the learn-both gate twice); proposed weekend 3, registered by weekend 5, run weekend 6, closed by weekend 9 the redesigned named-other condition at 30 million parameters, three free-arm seeds, about $36 Turns R3 from 'this recipe is not a testbed' into 'this recipe is not, and this one is (or is not)'. Proposed
E4 The marker-word fitted read on the A3 checkpoints November midweeks, only if the main line has finished with the Mac $0, about seventy processor-hours The registered A3 target that was never read at the nine positions. Does not bear on the December result. Deferred

Plan: docs/weekend-roadmap-2026-09-24.md. Data: data/roadmap.toml. Updated 2026-10-08.